Sound and Fury Signifying Stock Picks

In an age where TikTok traders and YouTube gurus claim market mastery, a new benchmark dataset asks a deceptively simple question: Can AI tell when someone really believes in their own stock pick? The answer, it turns out, reveals not just a performance gap between finfluencers and index funds, but also a yawning chasm between today’s multimodal AI models and human judgment. Conviction Is More Than a Call to Action The paper “VideoConviction” introduces a unique multimodal benchmark composed of 288 YouTube videos from 22 financial influencers, or “finfluencers,” spanning over six years of market cycles. From these, researchers extracted 687 stock recommendation segments, annotating each with: ...

July 14, 2025 · 4 min · Zelina

Divide and Model: How Multi-Agent LLMs Are Rethinking Real-World Problem Solving

When it comes to real-world problem solving, today’s LLMs face a critical dilemma: they can solve textbook problems well, but stumble when confronted with messy, open-ended challenges—like optimizing traffic in a growing city or managing fisheries under uncertain climate shifts. Enter ModelingAgent, an ambitious new framework that turns this complexity into opportunity. What Makes Real-World Modeling So Challenging? Unlike standard math problems, real-world tasks involve ambiguity, multiple valid solutions, noisy data, and cross-domain reasoning. They often require: ...

May 23, 2025 · 3 min