Digging Deeper with Bayes: Why AI May Finally Fix Mineral Exploration
Opening — Why this matters now Critical minerals have become the uncomfortable bottleneck of the energy transition. Governments want copper, nickel, and cobalt yesterday; investors want clean balance sheets; and society wants green electrons without digging more holes. Meanwhile, exploration economics remain bleak: more spending, fewer discoveries, and an industry still pretending the 1970s never ended. The uploaded paper by Caers (2024) argues the quiet part out loud: if exploration keeps relying on deterministic models and guru-style intuition, the false-positive drill holes will keep piling up. ...