Loops, Latents, and the Unavoidable A Priori: Why Causal Modeling Needs Couple’s Therapy
Opening — Why this matters now The AI industry is having a causality crisis. Our models predict brilliantly and explain terribly. That becomes a governance problem the moment an ML system influences credit decisions, disease diagnostics, or—inevitably—your TikTok feed. We’ve built astonishingly sophisticated predictors atop very fragile assumptions about how the world works. The uploaded paper—Bridging the Unavoidable A Priori—steps directly into this mess. It proposes something unfashionable but essential: a unified mathematical framework that lets system dynamics (SD) and structural equation modeling (SEM) speak to each other. One focuses on endogenous feedback loops, the other on latent-variable inference from correlations. They rarely collaborate—and the resulting misalignment shows up everywhere in AI. ...