Kill the Correlation, Save the Grid: Why Energy Forecasting Needs Causality
Humidity looks harmless on a scatter plot. Actually, in this paper, it looks worse than harmless: it appears negatively correlated with electricity demand. That is the kind of result a busy forecasting team might quietly accept. Add humidity as a feature, let the model figure it out, move on. The grid will not wait politely while everyone debates Pearl diagrams. ...