Thinking Isn’t Free: Why Chain-of-Thought Hits a Hard Wall
Reasoning budgets look harmless until they become a line item. A user asks an AI system to reconcile a long contract, inspect a transaction trail, trace dependencies in a knowledge graph, or verify whether one operational event can lead to another. The model “thinks.” The answer improves. The invoice also improves, in the less charming direction. The usual response is to ask for shorter reasoning: compress the chain of thought, use fewer tokens, impose a budget, maybe add a prompt that says “be concise,” because apparently invoices can be negotiated with adjectives. ...